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curve / tech — 2026-09-10

Technical scoreboard 2026-09-10 ・ regime: Bear steep(2Y -1.0 / 10Y +2.9bp)

Tenor%Δ1DΔ1WΔ1MΔ3MYTDΔ1Y52w rangepct 1Ypct 10YMA5MA25MA75MA200RSI14MACD%Bσ20σ60σ250MAOsc.Overall
1Y1.550-0.7-1.3+18.7+40.3+64.4+85.90.691.5698%100%1.5551.4651.2751.09479.56.50.77212120Strong up (3/4)Down (0↑2↓)Neutralchart
2Y1.823-1.0-2.7+20.5+39.7+65.6+96.60.861.8598%100%1.8371.7241.5321.35374.27.20.75333027Strong up (3/4)Neutral (1↑1↓)Upchart
3Y1.954-0.9-4.0+18.1+36.0+67.2+102.40.932.0198%100%1.9651.8691.6791.48868.06.80.72383531Strong up (3/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Neutralchart
4Y2.124-0.5-4.9+16.8+32.8+67.5+107.61.052.2097%100%2.1352.0541.8851.67463.25.90.69403937Strong up (3/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Neutralchart
5Y2.244+0.1-5.9+14.3+27.3+67.7+111.91.132.3398%100%2.2532.1892.0451.81359.95.00.64414040Strong up (3/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Neutralchart
6Y2.358+0.4-6.8+12.5+24.6+70.1+116.51.192.4598%100%2.3662.3222.1861.92957.14.10.58424444Strong up (3/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Neutralchart
7Y2.481+1.2-6.6+10.5+22.4+71.9+120.41.282.5897%100%2.4862.4582.3322.05154.63.40.52444847Strong up (3/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Neutralchart
8Y2.649+1.8-5.5+10.9+23.7+77.4+127.61.372.7497%100%2.6492.6242.4992.18954.93.20.54444948Strong up (4/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Upchart
9Y2.782+2.2-5.0+10.8+23.3+80.9+129.61.492.8797%100%2.7782.7582.6402.31554.52.90.53465048Strong up (4/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Upchart
10Y2.920+2.9-4.6+10.5+23.9+85.4+133.51.583.0197%100%2.9102.8982.7782.43554.42.70.53465250Strong up (4/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Upchart
15Y3.463+3.6-4.3+8.3+24.5+85.7+126.52.203.5597%100%3.4383.4503.3392.99153.11.80.48575553Strong up (4/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Upchart
20Y3.754+4.1-5.2+5.8+21.6+80.2+112.32.593.8694%99%3.7303.7583.6593.33351.01.20.39626557Strong up (3/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Neutralchart
25Y4.016+3.9-6.3+3.1+21.0+70.8+102.52.924.1492%99%3.9974.0403.9403.64548.70.50.30646158Strong up (3/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Neutralchart
30Y3.995+3.9-5.7+3.8+18.4+64.1+87.23.054.1391%99%3.9774.0223.9223.66648.40.50.28656361Strong up (3/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Neutralchart
40Y4.003+4.3-6.0+4.8+26.4+52.8+60.53.294.1493%99%3.9814.0293.8873.72349.41.10.29716464Strong up (3/4)Neutral (0↑1↓)Neutralchart

Δ in bp, MACD ×100, σ = realized vol (bp/yr). Source: Ministry of Finance, JGB Interest Rate Data.