bojsupply/demanddebtholders
Monthly: issuance vs BOJ purchases trn JPY, last 24 months
| Month | Auctions | Liquidity | Gross | BOJ buys | Buys/Gross | 1–3Y | 3–5Y | 5–10Y | 10–25Y | >25Y |
|---|
| 2026-10 (mtd) | 6.40 | 0.00 | 6.40 | 1.68 | 26% | 0.66 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| 2026-09 | 9.49 | 0.00 | 9.49 | 2.50 | 26% | 0.71 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| 2026-08 | 9.92 | 0.90 | 10.82 | 2.50 | 23% | 0.71 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| 2026-07 | 9.57 | 1.35 | 10.92 | 2.50 | 23% | 0.71 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| 2026-06 | 9.49 | 0.90 | 10.39 | 2.71 | 26% | 0.77 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| 2026-05 | 10.21 | 1.35 | 11.56 | 2.71 | 23% | 0.77 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| 2026-04 | 9.47 | 0.90 | 10.37 | 2.71 | 26% | 0.77 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| 2026-03 | 10.86 | 1.35 | 12.21 | 2.90 | 24% | 0.81 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| 2026-02 | 10.05 | 0.90 | 10.95 | 2.90 | 27% | 0.81 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| 2026-01 | 10.50 | 1.35 | 11.85 | 2.90 | 25% | 0.81 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| 2025-12 | 9.58 | 0.90 | 10.48 | 3.30 | 32% | 0.90 | 0.84 | 0.92 | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| 2025-11 | 10.36 | 1.35 | 11.70 | 3.31 | 28% | 0.90 | 0.84 | 0.92 | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| 2025-10 | 9.83 | 0.90 | 10.73 | 3.30 | 31% | 0.90 | 0.84 | 0.92 | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| 2025-09 | 10.09 | 1.25 | 11.34 | 3.71 | 33% | 0.98 | 0.98 | 1.05 | 0.41 | 0.15 |
| 2025-08 | 9.39 | 1.00 | 10.39 | 3.71 | 36% | 0.98 | 0.98 | 1.05 | 0.41 | 0.15 |
| 2025-07 | 10.22 | 1.15 | 11.37 | 3.71 | 33% | 0.98 | 0.98 | 1.05 | 0.41 | 0.15 |
| 2025-06 | 9.90 | 1.10 | 11.00 | 4.11 | 37% | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.41 | 0.15 |
| 2025-05 | 10.45 | 1.15 | 11.60 | 4.11 | 35% | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.41 | 0.15 |
| 2025-04 | 10.20 | 1.10 | 11.30 | 4.11 | 36% | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.41 | 0.15 |
| 2025-03 | 10.51 | 1.15 | 11.66 | 4.51 | 39% | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| 2025-02 | 9.69 | 1.05 | 10.74 | 4.51 | 42% | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| 2025-01 | 10.79 | 1.15 | 11.94 | 4.51 | 38% | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| 2024-12 | 9.90 | 1.05 | 10.95 | 4.92 | 45% | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| 2024-11 | 10.54 | 1.15 | 11.69 | 4.92 | 42% | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 0.45 | 0.15 |
Buys / gross issuance ratio 2022-05〜
Net supply (issuance − redemptions − BOJ buys) trn JPY
| Month | Gross | Redemptions | BOJ buys | Net supply |
|---|
| 2026-09 | 9.49 | 22.30 | 2.50 | -15.31 |
| 2026-08 | 10.82 | 2.84 | 2.50 | +5.48 |
| 2026-07 | 10.92 | 2.83 | 2.50 | +5.59 |
| 2026-06 | 10.39 | 21.43 | 2.71 | -13.75 |
| 2026-05 | 11.56 | 2.81 | 2.71 | +6.04 |
| 2026-04 | 10.37 | 2.68 | 2.71 | +4.98 |
| 2026-03 | 12.21 | 22.69 | 2.90 | -13.38 |
| 2026-02 | 10.95 | 3.19 | 2.90 | +4.86 |
| 2026-01 | 11.85 | 2.90 | 2.90 | +6.04 |
| 2025-12 | 10.48 | 20.37 | 3.30 | -13.19 |
| 2025-11 | 11.70 | 2.90 | 3.31 | +5.50 |
| 2025-10 | 10.73 | 3.08 | 3.30 | +4.34 |
Redemptions next 12 months (outstanding issues by maturity)
| Month | Amount | of which BOJ | Market |
|---|
| 2026-10 | 2.79 | 1.22 | 1.56 |
| 2026-11 | 2.78 | 0.83 | 1.95 |
| 2026-12 | 20.12 | 16.34 | 3.78 |
| 2027-01 | 2.60 | 0.55 | 2.05 |
| 2027-02 | 2.68 | 0.76 | 1.92 |
| 2027-03 | 23.64 | 16.15 | 7.50 |
| 2027-04 | 2.91 | 0.62 | 2.29 |
| 2027-05 | 2.87 | 0.23 | 2.64 |
| 2027-06 | 22.38 | 17.39 | 4.99 |
| 2027-07 | 2.61 | 0.42 | 2.19 |
| 2027-08 | 2.83 | 1.33 | 1.49 |
| 2027-09 | 20.41 | 15.25 | 5.17 |
MOF redemption schedule →
Free float (outstanding − BOJ holdings)
| Outstanding (ex T-Bill, est.) | 1105.7 trn (MOF outstanding by issue 988.2) |
|---|
| BOJ holdings | 502.1 trn (45.4%) |
|---|
| Free float | 603.6 trn |
|---|
BOJ ownership heatmap (type × remaining)
| ≤1Y | 1–3Y | 3–5Y | 5–10Y | 10–25Y | >25Y |
|---|
| Fixed | 63% | 63% | 56% | 51% | 26% | 14% |
| ILB | 53% | 39% | 64% | 33% | — | — |
| GX | — | 40% | 19% | 35% | — | — |
| FRN | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cell = BOJ holding ÷ estimated outstanding (sum over issues). Estimated outstanding = max(MOF outstanding by issue [annual], cumulative auction allotments, BOJ holding). Tooltip: issue count and outstanding.
Issues with BOJ share ≥ 80% (25 shown, top 25)
Smallest free float, fixed-coupon (rem > 1y, bottom 15)
BOJ purchase operations: bid-to-cover bid-to-cover, 5-op moving average 2022-05〜
X-axis = 5–10Y op dates; other buckets overlaid by op order (dates roughly the same week).
| Bucket | Last | B/C | MA5 | Prorata% | Avg spr | Accepted |
|---|
| 1–3Y | 2026-10-21 | 2.44 | 2.57 | 79.0 | 0.3bp | ¥330.4B |
| 3–5Y | 2026-10-16 | 2.00 | 2.45 | 76.5 | 2.1bp | ¥290.4B |
| 5–10Y | 2026-10-21 | 1.93 | 2.02 | 46.0 | 0.2bp | ¥305.9B |
| 10–25Y | 2026-10-16 | 2.79 | 3.29 | 40.0 | 3.8bp | ¥85.1B |
| >25Y | 2026-10-21 | 2.68 | 2.40 | 45.3 | -0.7bp | ¥75.4B |
Last 30 operations
| Date | Bucket | Offered | Bid | Accepted | B/C | Prorata | Avg spr |
|---|
| 2026-10-21 | 5–10Y | ¥305B | ¥590.7B | ¥305.9B | 1.93 | 46.0 | 0.2 |
| 2026-10-21 | >25Y | ¥75B | ¥202.3B | ¥75.4B | 2.68 | 45.3 | -0.7 |
| 2026-10-21 | 1–3Y | ¥330B | ¥807.3B | ¥330.4B | 2.44 | 79.0 | 0.3 |
| 2026-10-16 | 3–5Y | ¥290B | ¥581.9B | ¥290.4B | 2.00 | 76.5 | 2.1 |
| 2026-10-16 | >25Y | ¥75B | ¥239.2B | ¥75.2B | 3.18 | 67.8 | 2.3 |
| 2026-10-16 | 10–25Y | ¥85B | ¥237.5B | ¥85.1B | 2.79 | 40.0 | 3.8 |
| 2026-10-07 | 10–25Y | ¥85B | ¥335B | ¥85.2B | 3.93 | 22.3 | -0.8 |
| 2026-10-07 | 1–3Y | ¥330B | ¥803.1B | ¥330.3B | 2.43 | 61.7 | 0.7 |
| 2026-10-07 | ≤1Y | ¥100B | ¥490.9B | ¥100.2B | 4.90 | 55.7 | 2.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | ILB | ¥30B | ¥148.1B | ¥30B | 4.94 | 84.6 | -76.7 |
| 2026-09-28 | 10–25Y | ¥100B | ¥381.6B | ¥100.3B | 3.80 | 29.5 | 1.8 |
| 2026-09-28 | 1–3Y | ¥355B | ¥1T | ¥355.4B | 2.87 | 62.8 | 3.6 |
| 2026-09-16 | 5–10Y | ¥335B | ¥474.2B | ¥335.1B | 1.42 | 89.1 | -1.8 |
| 2026-09-16 | 3–5Y | ¥320B | ¥526.6B | ¥320.2B | 1.64 | 34.1 | -1.6 |
| 2026-09-16 | >25Y | ¥75B | ¥138.5B | ¥75.1B | 1.84 | 47.5 | 1.0 |
| 2026-09-09 | 5–10Y | ¥335B | ¥786.2B | ¥335.4B | 2.34 | 67.9 | -0.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | >25Y | ¥75B | ¥188.4B | ¥75.2B | 2.51 | 18.3 | 2.1 |
| 2026-09-09 | 1–3Y | ¥355B | ¥1.1T | ¥355.3B | 3.12 | 44.0 | 0.1 |
| 2026-09-02 | 3–5Y | ¥320B | ¥1.2T | ¥320B | 3.86 | — | 4.7 |
| 2026-09-02 | 10–25Y | ¥100B | ¥313.3B | ¥100.4B | 3.12 | 18.2 | 2.9 |
| 2026-09-02 | ≤1Y | ¥100B | ¥453.4B | ¥100.2B | 4.52 | 60.7 | 2.8 |
| 2026-08-27 | ILB | ¥30B | ¥111.4B | ¥30B | 3.71 | — | -39.4 |
| 2026-08-27 | 3–5Y | ¥320B | ¥730.2B | ¥320.7B | 2.28 | 34.4 | 1.0 |
| 2026-08-27 | 10–25Y | ¥100B | ¥282.3B | ¥100.7B | 2.80 | 84.9 | 0.9 |
| 2026-08-19 | 5–10Y | ¥335B | ¥616.9B | ¥335.4B | 1.84 | 10.3 | -2.3 |
| 2026-08-19 | >25Y | ¥75B | ¥136.2B | ¥75.2B | 1.81 | 6.7 | -1.6 |
| 2026-08-19 | 1–3Y | ¥355B | ¥703.4B | ¥355.2B | 1.98 | 54.1 | -0.8 |
| 2026-08-13 | 5–10Y | ¥335B | ¥867.6B | ¥335.3B | 2.59 | 84.0 | 0.6 |
| 2026-08-13 | 3–5Y | ¥320B | ¥795.3B | ¥320.3B | 2.48 | 78.2 | 0.4 |
| 2026-08-13 | >25Y | ¥75B | ¥250B | ¥75.2B | 3.32 | 45.1 | 1.9 |
BOJ holdings by remaining maturity trn JPY, from issue-level data
| Bucket | Holding | Issues | Share |
|---|
| ≤1Y | 69.6 | 28 | 14% |
| 1–3Y | 116.3 | 58 | 23% |
| 3–5Y | 88.3 | 46 | 18% |
| 5–10Y | 138.1 | 70 | 28% |
| 10–25Y | 71.1 | 90 | 14% |
| >25Y | 13.9 | 34 | 3% |
| ILB | 4.7 | 10 | 1% |
SLF stress last 30 days
| 30d total | ¥527.9B |
|---|
| Issues borrowed (30d) | 61 |
|---|
Source: Ministry of Finance, Bank of Japan. Amounts in trillion yen.