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curve: MOF interest rates / 2026-09-09

Yield Curve

1.02.03.04.05Y10Y20Y30Y40Y2026-09-092026-09-081W 2026-09-021M 2026-08-071Y 2025-09-09

Curve at each fiscal year-end

0.01.02.03.04.05Y10Y20Y30Y40Y2026-09-09FY2025 2026-03-31FY2024 2025-03-31FY2023 2024-03-29FY2022 2023-03-31FY2021 2022-03-31FY2020 2021-03-31FY2019 2020-03-31FY2018 2019-03-29

The thick solid line is the latest date. The thin lines are the curve at each fiscal year-end (nearest business day on or before 31 March), darker for more recent years — the last 8 fiscal years.

Curve Spreads (bp) / Butterflies (bp)

bp
2s5s41.0
2s10s105.8
5s10s64.8
5s20s147.0
10s20s82.2
10s30s106.5
20s30s24.3
30s40s0.4
bp
2s5s10s-23.8
5s10s20s-17.4
10s20s30s+57.9
20s30s40s+23.9

Yields

Tenor2026-09-09(%)Prev day(%)Δ1D(bp)Δ1W(bp)Δ1M(bp)Δ1Y(bp)52wRSINSS resPC res
1Y1.5571.5570.0-0.3+20.2+87.8 99%83-0.2+10.2history
2Y1.8331.848-1.5-2.1+22.2+99.1 98%78+0.5+6.2history
3Y1.9631.972-0.9-4.6+20.2+104.7 98%70-1.6+2.7history
4Y2.1292.139-1.0-7.0+18.3+109.7 98%64+2.6-1.8history
5Y2.2432.258-1.5-8.9+15.2+113.3 98%60+1.5-4.1history
6Y2.3542.362-0.8-9.6+13.2+116.7 97%57-0.5-5.6history
7Y2.4692.476-0.7-11.6+10.4+119.8 96%53-2.5-5.8history
8Y2.6312.639-0.8-11.2+10.1+126.2 96%52+0.1-3.6history
9Y2.7602.769-0.9-11.4+9.6+127.8 96%52-0.3-1.8history
10Y2.8912.896-0.5-11.5+8.7+131.1 94%51-0.1+1.0history
15Y3.4273.426+0.1-12.7+6.2+122.5 93%48+0.4+5.7history
20Y3.7133.717-0.4-15.1+4.2+106.9 90%46-4.9+4.1history
25Y3.9773.974+0.3-16.4+2.2+97.2 86%44+3.6+0.9history
30Y3.9563.961-0.5-16.6+3.1+80.9 86%44-4.6-0.2history
40Y3.9603.965-0.5-17.4+4.5+53.4 89%45+6.0-3.2history

Implied forwards from NSS zero curve

%Δ1M(bp)
1y1y2.103+23.6
2y1y2.291+16.6
5y5y3.685+0.6
10y10y5.122-1.2

factor analysis →

Curve regime (last 250 business days)

days%avg Δslope
Bull steep2711+1.04
Bear steep10140+2.17
Bull flat6928-2.40
Bear flat4016-1.26
Flat135+0.01

now: Bull steep(1d streak)・last 20d: bS bF BS bF bF BF BF BF BS · BF BS · BS bF bF BS BS BF BS